Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner
This is written by the author of Expert Political Judgmentand will not be coming out until September 29th, 2015 but you need to put it on your radar screen. I have included a video of the author discussing Expert Political Judgment.
Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics Richard E. Thaler
This book is a clash of the minds between rational economics and the psychology of human beings. This book explores the beginnings of behavioral economics and human behavior. I also have included a video by the author
Both of these books are classics and I wanted to delve into both of them. The Poverty of Historicism comes up in other books I have read and I knew I needed to read it. Popper explores and criticizes the idea that there are laws of development in history and we are able to discern them. I have an interest in Cliodynamics and thought it would give me a different perspective. For our readers, The goal of cliodynamics (or cliometrics) is to turn history into a predictive, analytical science. I believe that this is very speculative, however, I believe it is necessary for me to study, in order to understand the other side. As you can see these ideas are polar opposites of each other.
After reading Ian Morris’ Why The West Rules For Now,I was also intrigued by this classic by William McNeil and wanted to make sure I had a good understanding of this subject. As you can see this is along the lines of syntopical reading and moves me closer to a finished reading of the subject. If our readers have any suggestions on more syntopical readings on both of these subjects, I would be very appreciative.
I have included a video from William H. McNeill and why he wrote The Rise of The West and the study of history